CrowdStrike vs Microsoft Defender: Who Leads EDR/XDR Into 2026?

EDR “leader” in 2026 = who contains fastest at scale + doesn’t implode during updates. 🎄🧯 Our model: CrowdStrike 50% (±8), Microsoft Defender 35% (±7), SentinelOne 15% (±5).

SIGNALS WEEKLY: Holiday Patch Panic: Cisco AsyncOS Zero-Day + KEV Edge Rush

🎄 Zero-day season: Cisco AsyncOS exploited + KEV edge scramble. 🧯 VNC-to-HMI + cloud C2 (Drive/Telegram) keep paying rent.

Holiday Scam Survival Kit (2025): Delivery Texts, ‘Family Emergency’ Calls, Gift Card Traps

Holiday scammers are running peak-season ops 📦🎄 “Delivery problem” texts, AI “family emergency” calls, and “pay via gift card/Zelle” pressure. Rule: don’t click, hang up + call back, never gift cards/crypto/wires.

[DEEP RESEARCH] Zero-Days Are a Distraction: 2025’s Biggest Losses Were Stolen Tokens + OAuth

Most downtime and spend stemmed from OAuth/SaaS abuse and edge appliances—not catastrophic zero-days. Here’s what drove real operating impact and the fastest ways to shrink it.

SIGNALS WEEKLY: Chrome 0-Day in the Wild + December Patch Tuesday Priv-Esc

Chrome 0-day in the wild + Windows priv-esc getting abused + OT VNC still exposed like it’s 2009. 😬🔥

Zero-Days Are a Distraction: 2025’s Biggest Losses Were Stolen Tokens + OAuth

Zero-days get the headlines. Stolen tokens + OAuth consent abuse get the invoices. 🧾🔑😈 2025 pain = AiTM/device-code phishing + token replay + KEV-speed edge fires.

Will UNC5221 pop a fresh zero-day before Dec 31? Final Forecast!

BRICKSTORM intel just landed: PRC actors camping in vCenter/ESXi + Windows. 🧱🕵️‍♂️ F5 source-code drama raises the long-run 0-day odds, but the calendar + attribution lag are savage. Our final call: 11% UNC5221 gets publicly tied to a new 0-day before Dec 31. 🎯

SIGNALS WEEKLY: React2Shell in the Wild, BRICKSTORM in the Walls, Predator on the Phone

React2Shell in the wild, BRICKSTORM in the walls, Predator on the phone. Not a dystopian haiku—this week’s risk stack. 🧯🕳️📱

The Quiet Token Heist: Why 2026’s Biggest SaaS Breaches Won’t Start With Passwords

2026’s nastiest SaaS breaches will ride valid tokens + “trusted” apps. We already got the trailer with the Salesloft/Drift OAuth blast radius. And the browser? Yeah, it’s part of the perimeter now. 😬🔑💬

How Close Are We to a Cyber-Driven Citywide Water Outage?

Will hackers actually turn off a city’s water, or is that just conference-slide horror fiction? 💧🤔 We put a number on it...

SIGNALS WEEKLY: Android Banking Malware & VS Code Worms Go Mainstream

🚨 CodeRED alerts ransomed. 🐛 Shai Hulud 2.0 looting CI/CD secrets. 📱 107 Android bugs + Albiriox on-device fraud. Signals Weekly on what to fix first.

Dark LLMs: When Your AI Traffic Is C2

Your “normal” AI traffic can be stealth C2 now. Dark LLMs are writing per-host pwsh one-liners, self-rewriting droppers, and hiding in model APIs you approved. If you’re not policing AI egress, you’re not doing detection. 😬🤖

forecasts

AI Agents as Regulated C2: Will Anyone Be Forced to Act?

AI just ran most of an espionage op, and regulators are still in “interesting case study” mode. 😏 We’re forecasting: 55% odds that by 2026, someone will force signed AI connectors + agent logs by default.

weekly

SIGNALS WEEKLY: Wormed Repos, Multi-Vector APTs, KEV Identity RCE

Wormed npm repos. Multi-vector APTs. KEV-listed identity RCE. If your CI/CD + SSO aren’t on the same crisis board this week, you’re already late. 😈🚨

ai

Your AI Agents Are the New C2 — Lock Down Identity & Connectors

Anthropic just showed what happens when your “helpful” AI agents become C2: 80–90% of an espionage op automated, humans just clicking approve. Lock down identity + connectors or you’re renting your SaaS to someone else’s botnet. 🤖🚨

forecasts

Will Akira trigger a week-long hospital disruption by end of 2026?

20% odds Akira triggers a 7-day ambulance diversion at a 10+ hospital system by end of 2026. 🚑 Still feeling “low risk”?

weekly

SIGNALS WEEKLY: The Quiet Shift- When Intrusions Start Thinking for Themselves

A Chinese crew let a jailbroken AI run most of the intrusion while FortiWeb + Firebox burn in KEV and a contractor leak drops the playbook.

cl0p

After LockBit and BlackCat, Is Cl0p Really Next in Line?

LockBit got the Operation Cronos takedown. BlackCat imploded. Cl0p just logged a record leak month—and shows no sign of slowing. By 2026, do we really keep Cl0p dark for 90+ days… or just get Cl0p v2 with a fresh logo?

unc6485

Triofox Exploitation Cluster (UNC6485): Six-Month Outlook, Copycat Risk, and What to Watch

UNC6485 is farming Triofox: Host: localhost → setup → mint admin → AV path = your script → SYSTEM → RMM + reverse RDP/443. Patch to 16.7.10368.56560 now. Copycats next. 🔥🛡️

weekly

SIGNALS WEEKLY: Keys & Gates — Windows kernel EoP; Cisco RA VPN reloads

Keys. Gates. Windows. Actively exploited Win kernel EoP ✅ (CVE-2025-62215). Cisco RA-VPN bugs can reload unpatched edges. LANDFALL used Samsung’s image bug (CVE-2025-21042). Which breaks first in your shop?

china

Typhoon by Consent: Quiet, Durable, Everywhere

One “Allow” → tenant-wide weather event. 🌀 AI agent phish wraps the consent flow, device-code keeps churning, and Typhoon rides “good” U.S. infra. Kill list: user consent, device-code, or EWS app perms—what’s first?

forecasts

Will RedNovember be publicly reported to exploit at least one zero-day vulnerability in 2026? Updated 2025-11-06

We’re at 29% that RedNovember will be publicly reported exploiting at least one zero‑day in 2026 under strict timing and attribution rules. The hinge is whether the group escalates beyond PoC‑driven N‑day edge exploits and whether attribution survives rebranding.

weekly

Signals Weekly: The Shortcut That Opened Doors in Europe

A Windows .LNK just became an actual door key. UNC6384 → PlugX at EU diplomats. CISA drops 2 new KEV vulns (CentreStack/Triofox & CWP) + 5 ICS advisories. Patch what you can, isolate what you can’t.

unc5221

Will UNC5221 pop a fresh zero-day before Dec 31? Updated!

UNC5221 is an edge-focused PRC espionage actor repeatedly tied to zero-days (Ivanti 2023–2025; prior NetScaler). Edge products remained a major zero-day target in 2024. But public attributions typically lag exploitation by weeks, and the window is short...