[FORECAST] Who Gets to Hack Back for the Government?

Our 45% forecast—and the public signals that would show private cyber effects have moved from authority to action.

[GAME THEORY] The help desk is becoming the new intrusion broker.

Vishing works because urgency can become SaaS authority. Break the trust transaction without breaking support.

[SIGNALS WEEKLY] Compressed View of Current Cyber Threat Landscape

Three clocks are running: active PaperCut exploitation, QTFY infrastructure rebuilding after disruption, and AI-agent activity outpacing log governance. Hunt the transitions—not the tidy incident story.

[FORECAST] Ransomware Is Moving the Helpdesk Off the Server

We put a 35% chance on two more extortion crews adopting decentralized victim infrastructure by June 2027.

[GAME THEORY] Ransomware Did Not Need a Better Exploit. It Needed a Better Business Model.

RaaS wins on repeatable access and recovery pressure. Here is how defenders can break the cheap path before encryption.

[SIGNALS WEEKLY] Quiet Fault Lines in Identity, Perimeter, and CI/CD

The quiet failure mode in this week’s signals is trust doing exactly what it was configured to do—for the wrong operator. A TeamCity foothold can expose secrets and poison downstream artifacts..

[FORECAST] The SaaS connector is where trust becomes blast radius.

A 30% forecast—and a practical way to reduce the cross-tenant blast radius before the next connector compromise.

[DEEP RESEARCH] The Container Was Not the Prize. The Token Was.

A pod compromise becomes a cloud incident only when workload identity turns execution into transitive authority.

[SIGNALS WEEKLY] Expanding State Cyber Powers Amid Exploitable Gaps

Exposed management planes are becoming the shortest path from ordinary web access to operational impact. Ray CVE-2025-62593 is now in CISA’s KEV, while new Haiwell and Metasys flaws put AI compute and OT interfaces on the same uncomfortable list.

[GAME THEORY] The dangerous part of the AI tool is who gets to edit the instructions later.

MCP tool metadata can become routing logic. Here is who should re-approve changes—and what runtime controls must still decide.

[DEEP RESEARCH] The Package Was Not Hiding Malware. It Was Training the Reviewer.

Attackers are adapting to how trust gets granted. They are abusing dependency and build graphs, CI runners, and AI-assisted review to compromise the full path from maintainer to release.

[SIGNALS WEEKLY] Converging Pressures: Identity, Edge Exploits, and Decentralized C2

Edge exploits, helpdesk vishing, stolen CI tokens, and decentralized C2 share one objective: scale access while shrinking defender visibility. Hunt the transitions, not just the opening IOC.