iran - AlphaHunt Converge

forecasts

[FORECAST] The Threat Was Real. The Public Proof Probably Falls Short (Final: 2026-05-21)

The forecast likely resolves No, but the useful lesson is where Iran-linked operators still depend on access defenders can pressure.

forecasts

[FORECAST] Iran-Linked Cyber Risk Is Real. The Evidence Bar Is Harder (Updated: 2026-05-14)

The forecast is 29%, but the operational risk is still worth preparing for this week.

forecasts

[FORECAST ] Iran’s Cyber Window Is Still Open—But the Qualification Clock Is Now the Hardest Adversary (Updated 2026-05-05!)

Iran cyber isn’t quiet. The problem is the scoreboard. Every recycled leak and nuisance outage wants to become “critical infrastructure impact” before the evidence has its pants on.

forecasts

[FORECAST] Iran’s Cyber Window Stays Open—But the Novelty Bar Is Tougher Now (Updated: 2026-04-23)

The industry loves a neat PLC story because it keeps the threat in a box you can point at. The less fun version is when the same campaign walks through identity or an admin plane your org still treats like plumbing.

weekly

[SIGNALS WEEKLY] Quiet Shifts In Tradecraft, Loud Signals In Exposure

Everyone waits for the sexy zero-day. Meanwhile “IT” is in your Teams chat asking for Quick Assist, and your user clicks yes. The breach starts looking a lot like normal work.

forecasts

[FORECAST] Beyond PLCs: Are Iran-Linked Operators More Likely to Chase New Targets, New Tooling, or New Impact? UPDATED 2026-04-08!

Everyone saw the PLC headline and immediately built their whole Iran take around exposed controllers. Cool. The nastier question is what happens when the next move comes through identity, admin planes, or some target class nobody staffed for.

forecasts

[FORECASTS] From Password Sprays to Tenant Sabotage: The 8-Week Iran Cyber Risk for U.S. and Israeli Orgs - UPDATED: 2026-03-26

Iran cyber risk is not about whether they’ll be active. They will. The real question is whether the next 8 weeks produce a publicly attributed, materially disruptive hit with a new twist beyond the usual password-spray sludge. Tenant sabotage is the part to watch. 👀🔥

forecasts

[FORECASTS] From Password Sprays to Tenant Sabotage: The 8-Week Iran Cyber Risk for U.S. and Israeli Orgs

Iran cyber risk isn’t just “watch for wipers.” It’s the same ugly identity-first playbook: password sprays, MFA abuse, cloud access… then maybe admin-plane sabotage. Recent reporting says activity is already reaching U.S. targets. Cute.

weekly

SIGNALS WEEKLY: Seedworm in U.S. Networks, Coruna on iPhones, and a Patch Window Measured in Days

This week’s pattern is ugly and simple: Seedworm is reportedly already sitting inside multiple U.S. organizations, Coruna shows spy-grade iPhone exploitation bleeding into broader use, and KEV + March patch drops are shrinking defender response time from “soon” to “right now.”

iran

Iran’s Internet Went to Zero on Jan 8—Will Account Takeovers Spike in the Next 2–3 Weeks?

Iran’s internet goes dark → attackers don’t stop. They speed-run creds and hit post-auth collection the moment connectivity blips back. ⏱️🔑👀

weekly

SIGNALS WEEKLY: Holiday Patch Panic: Cisco AsyncOS Zero-Day + KEV Edge Rush

🎄 Zero-day season: Cisco AsyncOS exploited + KEV edge scramble. 🧯 VNC-to-HMI + cloud C2 (Drive/Telegram) keep paying rent.

ta558

SteganoAmor: TA558’s image-hidden malware targets oil, gas & maritime

TA558’s “SteganoAmor” campaign leverages steganography to deliver commodity malware across oil, gas, maritime, and industrial targets. The group’s use of image-embedded payloads and compromised infrastructure...